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The Buffalo Bills (15-3) and Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) lock horns in the AFC Championship Game Sunday. Kickoff is at 6:40 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium. Below, we preview the Bills-Chiefs odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.
Bills at Chiefs: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:50 a.m. ET.
Money line: Bills +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Chiefs -175 (bet $175 to win $100)Against the spread/ATS: Bills +3.5 (-115) | Chiefs -3.5 (-105)Over/Under: 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Bills at Chiefs: Game notes
The Bills posted an emphatic 17-3 win over the Baltimore Ravens last week. It sets up a rematch of Week 6, a game the Chiefs won 26-17 in Buffalo as the Under (55) comfortably connected.The Chiefs hung on for a 22-17 win over the Cleveland Browns in the AFC Divisional Round, as backup QBLas Vegas Scores & Odds
Chad Henne led the team to a late, crucial first down to get the Chiefs over the hump.Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes was cleared from the concussion protocol Friday and will be active Sunday after leaving in the second half of the divisional round win over the Cleveland Browns.Kansas City ranked 16th in the regular season in total yards allowed per game at 358.3, and they were 14th in the NFL with 236.2 passing yards allowed per contest. The Chiefs ranked 21st against the run, allowing 122.1 yards per game on the ground. That's not Buffalo's strong suit, as the Bills ranked 20th in offensive rushing yards per game (107.7).The Bills covered the spread in their final eight regular-season games, and they split the covers in each of their two playoff games.Bills at Chiefs: Key injuries
Bills
DT Vernon Butler (quadriceps) questionableWR Gabriel Davis (ankle) questionableChiefs
RB Le'Veon Bell (knee) questionableCB Bashaud Breeland (concussion, shoulder) questionableRBLines And Odds College Football
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle, hip) questionableCB Rashad Fenton (foot) questionableLB Willie Gay (ankle) outWR Sammy Watkins (calf) questionableBills at Chiefs: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Bills 30, Chiefs 27
Money line (?)
The BILLS (+150) are a good bet on the money line, as they're playing exceptional football lately. Buffalo has rattled off eight straight wins, and 11 of its last 12.
Some in Bills Mafia would argue it should be 12 in a row, still angered by a crazy Hail Mary play in Arizona in Week 10 which resulted in a 32-30 loss.
Against the spread (?)
BILLS +3.5 (-115) is the play here. Yes, K.C. beat Buffalo by nine earlier this season, but the Bills are 9-1 ATS across their past 10 games.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs are just 1-8 ATS over their previous nine games, with each of their past eight straight-up wins all one-score games, including three by 3 or fewer points.
Over/Under (?)
The OVER 54.5 (-110) is the play in this AFC title game. Buffalo's offense was high octane in the regular season, posting 396.4 total yards and 31.3 PPG, ranking second in the NFL in both categories. K.C. averaged 415.8 total yards and 303.4 passing yards per game to rank atop the NFL, while being rather middling on defense.
This has the potential to be a shootout.
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